SOUTH ASIA
SOUTH ASIA
INDIA
ISS Risk Special Report: ISIS Threat in India – April, 2018 (link)
BANGLADESH
[9 August, 2017] Bangladesh: The curious case of JMB – latest intelligence (link)
[4 July, 2017] Bangladesh Terrorism Risk Review – July, 2017 (link)
Special Report – “Bangladesh Garment Industry: Contextualising Geopolitical Risks Beyond the Vanilla ” [2 April, 2017]
If your business involves the textile and clothing industry (‘garment industry’), and you are heavily dependent on stability in Bangladesh then cause for concern at both the strategic and operational level is genuine. Whereas meeting foreign buyers in Bangkok or hiring security convoys for shipments works short-term, such tactical moves can only go so far in protecting a business model and your strategy. As the quote goes ‘knowledge itself is power’, and in such circumstances knowledge of how political events now will translate into future economic and financial-business risks will empower a company to make the right tactical and strategic decisions in protecting its business goals.
For more details on this analysis please contact phill.hynes@issrisk.com
Analysis – Persistent militant activities in Bangladesh highlights needs for increased security preparedness [2 April, 2017]
Bangladesh has witnessed a major escalation in terrorist activities in the month of March, of which the last two weeks, from 17th to 31st March, have been the busiest. Four terrorist attacks were executed in this period, while the security forces carried out four operations against militant hideouts. The upward trajectory sadly continues to climb, currently exponentially, and will continue to do so. The prospects for a spectacular involving foreign nationals as targets in our opinion is increasing in tandem to the threat from improving militant capabilities, terrorist tactics, techniques and procedures.
For more details on this analysis please contact phill.hynes@issrisk.com
Analysis – Bangladesh Siege Update [26 March, 2017]
After an initial siege on March 24th, in the North east of the country just below the Indian state of Assam, police acting alone initially cordoned off an apartment block in Shibbari area under south Surma sub-district of Sylhet district, cornering an unknown number of militants. Police believe the latest leader of Neo-JMB, Maynul Islam Musa, is holed up inside the apartment. This document explores further details of the siege and provides up-to-date analysis on the situation.
For more details on this analysis please contact phill.hynes@issrisk.com
Special Report – “Bangladesh Terrorism Review” [17 March, 2017]
Bangladesh has experienced a significant spike in terrorist activities across the country since early 2017. This report looks at the trends and patterns of activity beyond the here and now, and how that has and is contributing to the increasing levels of militancy and the transitional nature of the threat.
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For access to the full special report please contact hrishi.bhatt@issrisk.com
Special Report #4/4 – “The Emergence and Growth of ISIS in Bangladesh: How the JMB acted as the conduit for the establishment of ISIS in the South Asian nation and how the model and structures potentially impact Asia and beyond” [16 September, 2016]
Social network analysis of the JMB – ISIS terrorist infrastructure in Bangladesh and the introduction of the ‘Pool Matrix Structure’ concept to analyse how terrorist networks operate in secrecy and avoid detection from the security agencies. A must-read to understand the current terrorism landscape in Bangladesh.
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For access to the full special report please contact hrishi.bhatt@issrisk.com
Special Report #3/4 – “The increasing threat trajectory in Bangladesh and what it means for the country and the region as a jihadist bridgehead” [22 July, 2016]
The global jihadist landscape has been and is in transition, but many are viewing the changes through the prism of the here and now, in the usual responsive manner. These changes are not as sporadic, and as some suggest, responsive to the noose tightening on the Caliphate in Iraq and Syria.
For access to the full special report please contact hrishi.bhatt@issrisk.com
Special Report – “Attack in Sholakia – Initial Assessment” [9 July, 2016]
Another terrorist attack took place in Bangladesh on the morning of 7 July, when the entire nation was celebrating Eid festival. In line with our report on the Dhaka attack on 1 July, ISS Risk makes an initial assessment on the attack and what it reveals of the both the attackers and the organizers.
For further discussion of this special report or related matters please contact hrishi.bhatt@issrisk.com
Special Report – “Dhaka cafe terrorist attack assessment” [5 July, 2016]
The latest terrorist attack on 1 July at the Holey Artisan Bakery cafe in Dhaka shocked many – due to its barbarity and lethality – but should come as no surprise to anyone who have been following the early warning combat indicators of the nation’s jihadist landscape over the last two years.
For further discussion of this special report or related matters please contact hrishi.bhatt@issrisk.com
Special Report #2/4 – “Growth of militancy and ISIS in Bangladesh” [14 June, 2016]
Our analysis reveals that the introduction of ISIS into Bangladesh has enhanced the operational capabilities of local extremist groups and fostered a more sophisticated jihadist network. Additionally, the anointment of an Emir in Bangladesh indicates that the group has significant plans for the country, as – methodically speaking – such anointment preludes the designation of a local province as part of the caliphate.
For access to the full Special Report please contact hrishi.bhatt@issrisk.com
Phill Hynes discusses with Frontera News’ its latest article on ISS Risk’s Special Report and its ongoing coverage of ISIS across Asia – “The new Emir of ISIS: What his coronation means for Bangladesh” [19 April, 2016]
Bangladesh has a new prince – of terror. Sheikh Abu Ibrahim al-Hanafi was recently introduced as Islamic State’s emir, or chief leader, for Bengal – as the terror group prefers to call the region.
→ MEDIA COVERAGE OF ISS RISK’S SPECIAL REPORT
For access to the full special report behind this media coverage please contact hrishi.bhatt@issrisk.com
Phill Hynes discusses with Frontera News its latest article on ISS Risk’s Special Report and its ongoing coverage of ISIS across Asia – “ISIS? What ISIS? Bangladesh’s state of dangerous denial” [17 March, 2016]
With the world’s third largest Muslim population, Bangladesh is a logical next front for ISIS. PM Hasina’s denial of any threat can only help Islamic State realize its ambition.
→ MEDIA COVERAGE OF ISS RISK’S SPECIAL REPORT
For access to the full special report behind this media coverage please contact hrishi.bhatt@issrisk.com
Special Report #1/4 – “Rise of militancy and ISIS in Bangladesh” [27 January, 2016]
With critical persons and combat indicators, operational patterns and the like identified directly from our human intelligence sources in late 2015 and through our own analysis of this data our forward looking intelligence report on expected evolutions in militancy and the well embedded ISIS group in Bangladesh for 2016 are contained in this timely Special Report.
For access to the full special report please contact hrishi.bhatt@issrisk.com
MYANMAR
[16 September, 2017] Myanmar: Whilst Rakhine burns, Asia fiddles – the regional implications of lethargy (link)
Special Report – “Myanmar: Terrorism Risk Review” [26 September, 2016]
With significant international attention directed recently towards the plight of the Muslim Rohingya population in Myanmar, and several jihadist groups making public denunciations of Myanmar, and encouraging the Rohingya to take up jihad to defend their communities, a review of the actual terrorist risk landscape found in Myanmar is most timely.
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For further insights and discussion of this article please contact blake.herzinger@issrisk.com or hrishi.bhatt@issrisk.com